Mesa, Arizona Market Data

Rent or Buy in Mesa?

In 2026, the median home price in Mesa is $457,750 and average rent is $1,871. Let's run the numbers.

Mesa Calculator

Pre-loaded with Mesa averages. Adjust to match your specific scenario.

Start Your Calculation

Enter your details below to see the true cost of renting vs buying.

Basic Details

Market Analysis: Mesa

Avg. Home Price
$457,750
Avg. Monthly Rent
$1,871
Appreciation Forecast
3.5%

The Verdict for 2026

Based on the price-to-rent ratio of 4.9%, buying could be a solid move in Mesa if you plan to stay for at least 5-7 years. Rents are high enough that locking in a mortgage payment might save you money over time.

Key Market Data

  • Median Home Price: $457,750 (as of 2025-11-30)
  • Average Rent: $1,871/month
  • Homes Sold: 408 per month
  • Days on Market: 55 days median

Compare with other Arizona cities

See how Mesa stacks up against nearby markets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Mesa a good place to buy a house in 2026?

Yes, Mesa can be a strong buy market. With a price-to-rent ratio of 4.9%, monthly rents are high enough that locking in a mortgage payment makes financial sense if you plan to stay 5+ years. The median home price of $457,750 offers good value compared to rental costs.

How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Mesa?

Based on the median home price of $457,750, you'll typically need an annual household income of $1538K-$1977K to qualify for a mortgage (using the 28/36 rule). With a 20% down payment ($92K), your monthly payment would be approximately $2,136 at current interest rates.

What are the hidden costs of buying in Mesa?

Beyond your mortgage, budget for property taxes (typically 1-2% of home value annually in Arizona), homeowners insurance ($1,200-$2,500/year), maintenance (1-2% of home value annually), HOA fees if applicable, and closing costs (1.5% when buying, 6% when selling). Our calculator above factors in all these costs for an accurate comparison.

How long until buying pays off in Mesa?

The break-even point in Mesa typically ranges from 5-7 years, depending on your down payment, interest rate, and how long you stay. Use our calculator above with your specific numbers to find your exact break-even year. Factors like Mesa's projected 3-4% annual appreciation rate and $1,871/month average rent significantly impact this timeline.

Should I rent or buy in Mesa if I'm only staying 2-3 years?

For short stays of 2-3 years, renting is almost always the better financial choice in Mesa. Closing costs when buying (1.5%) and selling (6%) mean you'll spend roughly $34K just on transaction fees. You'd need significant home appreciation to offset these costs in such a short timeframe. Renting preserves your flexibility and avoids these upfront expenses.